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Economic Value Added (EVA) Brief
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EVA Brief: PGAS (Perusahaan Gas Negara)
It’s been almost two years since my last assessment. It was when a big acquisition with Pertagas was taking place. My view at that point...

Rio Adrianus
7 Jun 20203 menit membaca
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Making Sense of Pinehill Acquisition: ICBP (Indofood)
*Spoiler: It does not make sense Value lever signifikan ICBP saat ini ada di sales growth, seperti yang di-detail di analisa sebelumnya....

Rio Adrianus
4 Jun 20202 menit membaca
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Re-visiting BIRD (Blue Bird)
We have seen significant rebound from previously mentioned projected confluence zone. That brings to my mind, how economically sound is...

Rio Adrianus
2 Jun 20202 menit membaca
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Technical Signs BIRD (Blue Bird)
From previous analysis, I noted: "All of these add up to weak technical signs. BIRD will be on my mind, but not yet. I do have some...

Rio Adrianus
27 Mei 20201 menit membaca
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EVA on IPO: IPTV (MNC Vision Networks)
Satu lagi saham IPO yang dimention ke saya. Kabarnya, secara bandarmology (absurd terminology – it’s not even English) ‘bandar’ IPTV...

Rio Adrianus
26 Mei 20201 menit membaca
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EVA Brief: The Underestimated WEGE (Wika Gedung)
One important trend to notice is the management commitment to expand its fixed assets since 2016: a year before IPO. *Q3 data is LTM...

Rio Adrianus
20 Mei 20202 menit membaca
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EVA on IPO: CASH (Cashlez Worldwide Indonesia)
CASH. Provider RFID dan e-payment. Microchip yang membuat sebuah kartu menjadi kartu elektronik sehingga bisa melakukan digital payment...

Rio Adrianus
18 Mei 20203 menit membaca
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EVA Brief: HOKI (Buyung Poetra Sembada) - May 2020
Swasembada pangan nasional. Adopting almost 0 import of rice policy. Menurut World Bank, harga beras Indonesia lebih tinggi 50-70% dari...

Rio Adrianus
11 Mei 20202 menit membaca
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BWPT 2019 Economic Profit Assessment
2019 full year result just came in. It is worse than 2018. The only silver lining is that there is no new notable investment in fixed...

Rio Adrianus
10 Mei 20203 menit membaca
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Palm Oil: A Significant Signal Emerging (TA Chart)
Palm oil is now at a fibonacci confluence zone. There is another confluence zone just a bit below should palm oil continues to decline....

Rio Adrianus
10 Mei 20201 menit membaca
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Review & Current Assessment: MNCN (Media Nusantara Citra)
Dengan banyaknya saham yang rontok sekarang, ini adalah waktu yang baik untuk mereview analisa tempo dulu. Let’s see what we have for...

Rio Adrianus
4 Mei 20203 menit membaca
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How To Read Price Chart Better
This is an exercise to sharpen your perception to better spot significant geometrical relationships in your price chart. Two key pieces...

Rio Adrianus
27 Apr 20204 menit membaca
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Cheap Enough? LPPF (Matahari Dept Store): 2019 Result
Semenjak 2017, EVA mengalami downtrend persistent. Market is responding in kind. Harga saham LPPF tidak pernah serendah ini for a very...

Rio Adrianus
17 Apr 20202 menit membaca
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Cheap Enough? AKRA (AKR Corporindo)
Sebagai distributor BBM yang ditunjuk oleh Pertamina, bisnis AKRA tidak kelihatan lucrative dari sudut economic profit. Apa yang sejauh...

Rio Adrianus
13 Apr 20203 menit membaca
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Cheap Enough? GGRM (Gudang Garam)
Jika kita lihat dari sales, GGRM 1-2 dengan HMSP. Dan kita bahkan bisa menyimpulkan kalau GGRM lebih baik (valuable) karena salesnya...

Rio Adrianus
8 Apr 20202 menit membaca
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Cheap Enough? HMSP (Sampoerna)
HMSP sudah jatuh keras dari peak Februari 2018 di sekitar 5.000/share ke sekitar 1.000/share. Turun 80%. Konsep overvaluation sekali lagi...

Rio Adrianus
7 Apr 20204 menit membaca
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Margin of Safety Applied: How to Avoid Getting Caught In Stocks Like TOPS (Totalindo Eka Persada)
Is it a good investment candidate? It depends on the price. That's pretty much the spirit of margin of safety, emphasized heavily first...

Rio Adrianus
30 Mar 20205 menit membaca
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EVA Brief: ULTJ (Ultra Jaya)
Ultrajaya has been a consistent value creator and in general, it has been steadily and slowly increasing its value as shown by EVA...

Rio Adrianus
16 Mar 20203 menit membaca
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EVA Brief: SIDO (Sido Muncul)
There is a saying, if you want to predict the future, you need to (at least) understand the past. Here is the long-term price chart of...

Rio Adrianus
16 Mar 20204 menit membaca
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EVA Brief: ICBP (Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur)
Let's see how truly profitable a successful instant noodle business is. It is remarkable. ICBP has managed not only creating wealth (as...

Rio Adrianus
15 Mar 20203 menit membaca
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